Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.032966 0.035955 0.038959 0.042199 0.045588 0.049022 0.052761
2026-01-11 0.028646 0.033108 0.037735 0.042866 0.048376 0.054095 0.060458
2026-01-18 0.025285 0.030815 0.036710 0.043409 0.050759 0.058533 0.067332
2026-01-25 0.021234 0.027361 0.034081 0.041901 0.050660 0.060089 0.070928
2026-02-01 0.018524 0.025139 0.032584 0.041432 0.051519 0.062537 0.075361
2026-02-08 0.016416 0.023414 0.031486 0.041262 0.052581 0.065102 0.079831
2026-02-15 0.015367 0.022842 0.031636 0.042449 0.055120 0.069271 0.086051
2026-02-22 0.014309 0.022160 0.031578 0.043324 0.057246 0.072931 0.091665
2026-03-01 0.013179 0.021294 0.031224 0.043786 0.058840 0.075942 0.096511
2026-03-08 0.012033 0.020320 0.030667 0.043946 0.060028 0.078449 0.100749
2026-03-15 0.011380 0.019944 0.030816 0.044929 0.062167 0.082040 0.106220
2026-03-22 0.010064 0.018579 0.029639 0.044220 0.062231 0.083169 0.108812
2026-03-29 0.009191 0.017788 0.029187 0.044416 0.063410 0.085645 0.113027
2026-04-05 0.008566 0.017306 0.029110 0.045066 0.065130 0.088759 0.117991
2026-04-12 0.007952 0.016797 0.028966 0.045607 0.066703 0.091690 0.122741
2026-04-19 0.006667 0.015173 0.027239 0.044048 0.065625 0.091413 0.123675
2026-04-26 0.005858 0.014213 0.026371 0.043562 0.065852 0.092677 0.126413
2026-05-03 0.005217 0.013465 0.025760 0.043384 0.066443 0.094364 0.129641
2026-05-10 0.005028 0.013459 0.026199 0.044605 0.068806 0.098211 0.135457
2026-05-17 0.004765 0.013302 0.026408 0.045505 0.070756 0.101552 0.140667
2026-05-24 0.004410 0.012951 0.026313 0.045981 0.072151 0.104206 0.145050
2026-05-31 0.004004 0.012472 0.026004 0.046144 0.073132 0.106343 0.148803
2026-06-07 0.003829 0.012409 0.026312 0.047155 0.075209 0.109834 0.154199